Lead by Odds
Decisions Under UncertaintyBy J. R. TREJO
Length1h 45m
About this audiobook
Certainty theater wastes time. Lead by Odds replaces yes/no bravado with defensible probabilities, simple scenario ranges, and pre-commits. You’ll brief by base rates, update with evidence, and make faster calls—even when the fog never lifts.
Audiobook details
GenreSelf-Help, Psychology
Length1 hr 45 mins
Narrated byListen with 1,000+ voices
FormateBook with Audio
Publish dateSep 13, 2025
LanguageEnglish
Table of contents
1Introduction
9Chapter Seven. Scenario Ranges for Tough Calls
2Prologue. Beyond the Fog of Certainty
10Chapter Eight. Briefing by Probabilities
3Chapter One. The Cost of Certainty Theater
11Chapter Nine. Cleaner Meetings Through Odds
4Chapter Two. Embracing Base Rates
12Chapter Ten. Building a Truth-Prizing Culture
5Chapter Three. Calibrating Your Odds
13Chapter Eleven. Learning Faster Than Rivals
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6Chapter Four. Predefining Kill Criteria
14Chapter Twelve. Integrating Odds into Leadership
7Chapter Five. Running Small Bets
15Epilogue. Leading Through Persistent Fog
8Chapter Six. Updating Beliefs with Evidence
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ADHD Quiet MorningsJ. R. TREJO2h 30m Only with Ultra
The Placebo Effect of PurposeJ. R. TREJO1h 14m Only with Ultra
Soft Power, Hard ResultsJ. R. TREJO1h 14m Only with Ultra
Finish What You FearJ. R. TREJO56m Only with Ultra
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Cold Water, Warm ChoicesJ. R. TREJO2h 17m Only with Ultra
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Algorithm Fast, Analog FeastJ. R. TREJO2h 25m Only with Ultra
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Stoic Tools for AnxietyJ. R. TREJO2h 5m Only with Ultra
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