Lead by Odds
Decisions Under UncertaintyBy J. R. TREJO
Length1h 45m
About this audiobook
Certainty theater wastes time. Lead by Odds replaces yes/no bravado with defensible probabilities, simple scenario ranges, and pre-commits. You’ll brief by base rates, update with evidence, and make faster calls—even when the fog never lifts.
Audiobook details
GenreSelf-Help, Psychology
Length1 hr 45 mins
Narrated byListen with 1,000+ voices
FormateBook with Audio
Publish dateSep 13, 2025
LanguageEnglish
Table of contents
1Introduction
2Prologue. Beyond the Fog of Certainty
3Chapter One. The Cost of Certainty Theater
4Chapter Two. Embracing Base Rates
5Chapter Three. Calibrating Your Odds
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6Chapter Four. Predefining Kill Criteria
7Chapter Five. Running Small Bets
8Chapter Six. Updating Beliefs with Evidence
9Chapter Seven. Scenario Ranges for Tough Calls
10Chapter Eight. Briefing by Probabilities
11Chapter Nine. Cleaner Meetings Through Odds
12Chapter Ten. Building a Truth-Prizing Culture
13Chapter Eleven. Learning Faster Than Rivals
14Chapter Twelve. Integrating Odds into Leadership
15Epilogue. Leading Through Persistent Fog
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