Agile Forecasting
Stop Defending Dates, Start Forecasting DeliveryBy John R. Royle
Length6h 21m
About this audiobook
Agile Forecasting: Stop Defending Dates. Start Forecasting Delivery. challenges traditional software delivery commitments and introduces a practical, evidence-based approach to forecasting.
Part business fable and part practitioner field guide, the book shows how teams and leaders can replace unreliable fixed-date promises with transparent forecasts based on scope discovery, representative estimation, actual delivery performance, uncertainty, and progressive reforecasting.
Drawing on more than 35 years of technology leadership experience, John R. Royle provides a practical approach to making better decisions about capacity, schedules, investment, risk, and delivery outcomes.
For Agile practitioners, Scrum Masters, product owners, project managers, technology executives, and anyone responsible for software delivery.
Audiobook details
GenreBusiness and Economics, Technology
Length6 hrs 21 mins
Narrated byListen with 1,000+ voices
FormateBook with Audio
Publish dateOct 20, 2026
LanguageEnglish
Table of contents
1Title Page
2Acknowledgments
3Preface: Why This Book Exists
4How the practice developed
5What the method does not promise
Show all chaptersShow less
6How to Use This Book
7Reading Paths
8A Simple Reading Test
9Part I: The Forecasting Fable
10Overview
11Prologue: Four Boxes
12Chapter 1: Boxes, Wine, and the Luxury of Being Done
13Chapter 2: 7:13 A.M.
14Chapter 3: What Did We Actually Promise?
15Chapter 4: The Wall
16Chapter 5: Two Teams, One Promise
17Chapter 6: Hope Is Not a Strategy
18Chapter 7: Buying the Quarter
19Chapter 8: The Week After Winning
20Chapter 9: A Good Month
21Chapter 10: Friday at Four
22Chapter 11: One Date, Four Meanings
23Chapter 12: A Quiet Quarter
24Epilogue: Coffee Can Just Be Coffee
25Part II: The Practitioner Guide
26Overview
27Section 1: Agile Forecasting at a Glance
28Section 2: The Six Actions of Agile Forecasting
29Section 3: The Three Forecasting Levels
30Section 4: Forecasting Patterns and Pitfalls
31Section 5: Visual Tools for Applying Agile Forecasting
32Section 6: One Scaling Principle: Preserve Local Truth, Integrate Through Time and Dependencies
33Section 7: Program and Portfolio Governance
34Part II Conclusion: Forecasting Is a Behavior
35Part III: Advanced Practice and Reference
36Overview
37Appendix A: Evidence and Measurement
38The question your evidence has to answer
391. Keep scope history and delivery history separate
402. Measure what actually moves the forecast boundary
413. Preserve all history, but select representative evidence deliberately
424. Use burn-up views to separate scope movement from delivery movement
435. Reconcile before forecasting
446. Evidence quality should match the consequence of the decision
457. Evidence accumulates continuously; reforecasting remains decision-driven
468. What better evidence changes
47Appendix B: Building Better Local Forecasts
48Match the method to the local question
491. Begin with a simple supported range
502. Improve the evidence before improving the model
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